Among Pacific member countries, Cook Islands suffered the largest contraction in FY2021 (ended 30 June 2021). GDP contracted by 29.1% with accommodation falling by 81.3% and travel by 65.1%. After these large declines, economic recovery will begin in FY2022 with GDP growth expected to rise by 9.1% as tourism resumes. This will accelerate further to 11.2% in FY2023. Inflation increased to 2.2% in FY2021 largely on higher fuel prices, which raised costs for transportation and imported food and beverages. Prices are forecast to accelerate to 4.3% in FY2022 before easing to 4.0% in FY2023. The current account deficit doubled to 12.5% of GDP in FY2021 largely due the decline in tourism—it is forecast to drop to 7.0% of GDP in FY2022 and revert to a surplus of 5.1% in FY2023 as tourism receipts recover.
|Headline Inflation Rate 1||0.2 (Sep15)||2.7|
|Exchange Rate Index 2||87.1 (Aug23)||90.5||91.0|
|1 y-o-y, %.|
2 Monthly average, January 2006 = 100, $/local currency.
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