Asia Regional Integration Center
Tracking Asian Integration
The economy contracted by 2.1% in 2020 after growing an average 5.0% over the previous 5 years. The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted the domestic economy with sharp declines in private consumption (by 2.7%) and fixed investment (by 4.9%). Government spending grew by 1.9% in 2020 with reallocations to fiscal stimulus programs. Net external demand contributed 1.1 percentage point to GDP growth as imports contracted (by 14.7%) more than exports (by 7.7%). Services fell by 1.4% in 2020 after growing by 6.4% in 2019. Inflation averaged 2.0% in 2020. Poverty incidence increased to 10.2%; the unemployment rate was the highest in 9 years at 7.1% in August 2020. The fiscal deficit grew to 6.1% of GDP in 2020 compared with 2.2% in 2019. With accommodative fiscal and monetary policies, a recovery in domestic demand, and an improved external environment, GDP is forecast to grow by 4.5% in 2021 and 5.0% in 2022.
Latest | Month-Ago | Year-Ago | |
---|---|---|---|
Composite Stock Price Index 1 | 7.0 (Apr22) | 6.0 | 6.0 |
Broad Money Growth 2 | 13.3 (Mar22) | 13.3 | 12.8 |
Headline Inflation Rate 3 | 2.6 (Mar22) | 2.1 | 1.4 |
Industrial/ Manufacturing Production Growth Rate 3 | 7.3 (Sep21) | 13.2 | -9.5 |
Merchandise Export Growth 3 | 44.4 (Mar22) | 44.4 | 34.2 |
Exchange Rate Index 4 | 152.0 (Apr22) | 151.7 | 153.6 |
1 Monthly average, local index. 2 %. 3 y-o-y, %. 4 Monthly average, January 2006 = 100, $/local currency. | |||
Source: Bloomberg LP; CEIC database; Badan Pusat Statistik. |
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