AEIR 2023

As the challenges of the pandemic and political uncertainties continued, Armenia reversed a 7.4% contraction in 2020, growing by 5.7% in 2021. Services expanded by 6.8% after contracting 8.8% in 2020, while industry grew by 3.8% following a 2.9% decline. Agriculture fell by 1.4% in 2021, the sixth consecutive year of decline. Higher remittances drive private consumption up by 3.4% following a steep 13.9% decrease in 2020. Public consumption growth fell from 15.2% in 2020 to 5.0% in 2021 as pandemic-related fiscal stimulus wound down. Inflation was well above the central bank’s target range, rapidly accelerating from 1.2% in 2020 to 7.2% in 2021. Barring any additional risk from neighboring conflicts, growth is projected to slow to 2.8% in 2022, gradually increasing to 3.8% in 2023 as the impact of economic shocks wanes.

Source: Asian Development Outlook 2022.
Latest Month-Ago Year-Ago
Headline Inflation Rate 1 5.4 (Mar23)8.1 7.4
Industrial/ Manufacturing Production Growth Rate 1 8.6 (Mar23)0.7 -6.4
Merchandise Export Growth 1 173.8 (Mar23)173.8 112.5
Exchange Rate Index 2 85.8 (Apr23)86.0 103.9
1 y-o-y, %.
2 Monthly average, January 2006 = 100, $/local currency.
Source: CEIC database.

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