As the challenges of the pandemic and political uncertainties continued, Armenia reversed a 7.4% contraction in 2020, growing by 5.7% in 2021. Services expanded by 6.8% after contracting 8.8% in 2020, while industry grew by 3.8% following a 2.9% decline. Agriculture fell by 1.4% in 2021, the sixth consecutive year of decline. Higher remittances drive private consumption up by 3.4% following a steep 13.9% decrease in 2020. Public consumption growth fell from 15.2% in 2020 to 5.0% in 2021 as pandemic-related fiscal stimulus wound down. Inflation was well above the central bank’s target range, rapidly accelerating from 1.2% in 2020 to 7.2% in 2021. Barring any additional risk from neighboring conflicts, growth is projected to slow to 2.8% in 2022, gradually increasing to 3.8% in 2023 as the impact of economic shocks wanes.
Latest | Month-Ago | Year-Ago | |
---|---|---|---|
Headline Inflation Rate 1 | -0.1 (Jul23) | -0.5 | 9.3 |
Industrial/ Manufacturing Production Growth Rate 1 | -2.4 (Jul23) | -7.4 | 13.7 |
Merchandise Export Growth 1 | 16.2 (Jul23) | 16.2 | 5.9 |
Exchange Rate Index 2 | 85.5 (Aug23) | 85.5 | 89.6 |
1 y-o-y, %. 2 Monthly average, January 2006 = 100, $/local currency. | |||
Source: CEIC database. |
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