AEIR 2019/2020

GDP growth slowed from 6.8% in FY2017 to 6.2% year-on-year during the transitional fiscal year (TFY) 2018—from 1 April 2018 to 30 September 2018—due to weaker domestic demand and slower investments. Domestic investment was sluggish, due to slower disbursement of government expenditure, weaker investor sentiment, and a decline in FDI approvals. The current account deficit fell by more than half, from the equivalent of 4.7% of GDP in FY2017 to 2.0% in TFY2018. Growth is forecast to rise to 6.6% in FY2019 (the full year ending 30 September 2019) and 6.8% in FY2020. A weakening external environment may hurt export prospects, but domestic and foreign investment should improve in response to the opening up of FDI in retail and wholesale trade, and insurance.
Source: Asian Development Outlook 2019, ADB.
Latest Month-Ago Year-Ago
Broad Money Growth 1 15.4 (Sep19)12.3 18.6
Headline Inflation Rate 2 6.6 (Mar20)8.4 7.9
Merchandise Export Growth 2 9.1 (Jan20)34.8 -3.2
Exchange Rate Index 3 22.0 (Apr20)21.0 23.0
1 %.
2 y-o-y, %.
3 Monthly average, January 2006 = 100, $/local currency.
Source: CEIC database.

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