Asia Regional Integration Center
Tracking Asian Integration
GDP growth rose to 4.5% in 2019 from 4.1% in 2018 as higher consumption, investment, and services drove the expansion. Most supply side sectors, however, lost steam, with growth in agriculture slowing to 0.9% (from 3.8% in 2018) and industry slipping to 3.8% (from 4.4%). Services did well, growing by 4.4% (from 3.9% in 2018). On the demand side, consumption expanded markedly, jumping from 1.6% growth during the first 9 months of 2018 to 6.7% for the same period in 2019. In addition, investment grew by 8.9%.in 2019, up from 2.8% in 2018. Despite the strong performance, however, the 2020 forecast accounts for a hit from the plunge in oil prices and the impact of COVID-19. GDP growth is expected to drop to 1.8% in 2020 before recovering to 3.6% in 2021.
| Latest | Month-Ago | Year-Ago | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Composite Stock Price Index 1 | 3.0 (Mar21) | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Broad Money Growth 2 | 21.6 (Feb21) | 21.6 | 21.6 |
| Headline Inflation Rate 3 | 7.0 (Mar21) | 7.4 | 6.4 |
| Industrial/ Manufacturing Production Growth Rate 3 | 0.2 (Feb21) | -4.1 | 7.5 |
| Merchandise Export Growth 3 | -25.2 (Jan21) | -25.2 | -32.6 |
| Exchange Rate Index 4 | 316.2 (Mar21) | 314.4 | 315.5 |
| 1 Monthly average, local index. 2 %. 3 y-o-y, %. 4 Monthly average, January 2006 = 100, $/local currency. | |||
| Source: Bloomberg LP; CEIC database. | |||
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