AEIR 2019/2020

Economic growth moderated to 0.7% saar in the fourth quarter of 2018 from 1.1% the previous quarter. Consumption contributed 2.3 percentage points, with new inventory contributing 0.7 of a percentage point. This was countered by a decline in fixed capital formation and net exports, which subtracted 1.7 percentage points. FocusEconomics panelists forecast 2.7% GDP growth in 2019 and 2.6% in 2020, bolstered by sustained expansion in commodity exports and a stronger business environment, backed by favorable financing conditions.

Source: Asian Development Outlook 2019, ADB.
Latest Month-Ago Year-Ago
Composite Stock Price Index 1 3.0 (Oct19)4.0 3.0
Broad Money Growth 2 4.1 (Jun19)4.1 4.1
Headline Inflation Rate 3 1.7 (Sep19)1.9 0.0
Industrial/ Manufacturing Production Growth Rate 3 1.9 (Jun19)4.0 0.0
Merchandise Export Growth 3 2.5 (Aug19)2.5 11.8
Exchange Rate Index 4 90.5 (Oct19)90.7 94.6
1 Monthly average, local index.
2 %.
3 y-o-y, %.
4 Monthly average, January 2006 = 100, $/local currency.
Source: Bloomberg LP; CEIC database.

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