GDP grew by an estimated 3.5% in 2021 after a steep 10.1% contraction in 2020. Fiscal and monetary stimulus and easing of pandemic-related supply-chain problems helped drive the recovery. All sectors likely grew in 2021. Industrial output increased by an estimated 4.7%, accounting for nearly half of GDP growth. Agriculture growth slowed to an estimated 3.6% from 4.6% in 2020 because of an unfavorable monsoon. Services growth moderated due to tourism restrictions, yet grew by 2.8% due to a revival in retail trade and other domestic businesses. Average inflation increased to 7.4% from 5.4%, reflecting stronger consumer demand and rising income. The economy is projected to grow by 4.5% in 2022 and 7.5% in 2023 as international tourism returns.
Latest | Month-Ago | Year-Ago | |
---|---|---|---|
Headline Inflation Rate 1 | 3.9 (Mar23) | 5.6 | |
Merchandise Export Growth 1 | -32.4 (May23) | -32.4 | 8.5 |
Exchange Rate Index 2 | 186.7 (Aug23) | 185.2 | 179.4 |
1 y-o-y, %. 2 Monthly average, January 2006 = 100, $/local currency. | |||
Source: CEIC database. |
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