AEIR 2019/2020

GDP growth stabilized at 2.7% in 2019, the same as in 2018. Domestic demand remained the main driver of growth. Gross capital formation expanded by 5.4% as several companies re-shored operations, mainly from the People’s Republic of China. On the supply side, growth in services fell slightly to 2.7% in 2019 as wholesale and retail trade growth slowed. The cyclical downturn in semiconductors decelerated industrial growth to 0.6% from 3.2%, while excessive rainfall led agriculture to contract. Inflation moderated to 0.6% despite rising food prices, and the current account surplus narrowed from 11.6% of GDP in 2018 to 10.5%. GDP growth is forecast to slow to 1.8% in 2020 on the impact of COVID-19, rising to 2.5% in 2021 as exports and public investment expands.
Source: Asian Development Outlook 2020, ADB
Latest Month-Ago Year-Ago
Composite Stock Price Index 1 12.0 (Oct20)12.0 11.0
Broad Money Growth 2 7.0 (Sep20)7.0 6.7
Headline Inflation Rate 3 -0.6 (Sep20)-0.3 0.4
Industrial/ Manufacturing Production Growth Rate 3 10.7 (Sep20)3.6 -0.6
Merchandise Export Growth 3 9.4 (Sep20)9.4 8.3
Exchange Rate Index 4 89.9 (Oct20)91.3 95.8
1 Monthly average, local index.
2 %.
3 y-o-y, %.
4 Monthly average, January 2006 = 100, $/local currency.
Source: Bloomberg LP; CEIC database; Ministry of Economic Affairs; Ministry of Finance.

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