AEIR 2021

GDP growth nearly matched 2018 growth, expanding by 4.1% in 2019. Increased capital spending connected with the Pacific Islands Forum meeting in August provided a boost. Higher spending and a steep decline in fishing receipts led to a fiscal deficit in 2019 equal to 9.8% of GDP, reversing a 34.2% surplus in 2018. Inflation in 2019 rose to 3.3%. Growth in 2020 will be affected by the impact of Cyclone Tino, which struck in January 2020, and the COVID-19 pandemic, which disrupted construction. Cyclone rehabilitation will be helped by support from multilateral organizations, but construction may be stymied by the pandemic impact. Still, growth is forecast at 2.7% in 2020 and 3.2% in 2021.
Source: Asian Development Outlook 2020, ADB
Latest Month-Ago Year-Ago
Merchandise Export Growth 1 38.1 (Sep20)38.1 -73.9
Exchange Rate Index 2 102.9 (Jan21)100.4 91.4
1 y-o-y, %.
2 Monthly average, January 2006 = 100, $/local currency.
Source: .

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