AEIR 2019/2020

Strong exports and domestic demand pushed GDP growth to 7.1% in 2018, the highest in 11 years. Private consumption, the largest component of GDP, accounted for most of the expansion. Rising incomes and stable inflation underpinned a strong rise in private consumption. Inflation averaged 3.5% in both 2017 and 2018, below the official 4.0% target. A weaker external environment should moderate economic expansion to 6.8% in 2019 and 6.7% in 2020. Growth will continue to be broad-based, underpinned by export-oriented manufacturing, inward FDI, and sustained domestic demand. Given its strong external linkages, small and medium-sized enterprises need to upgrade their capacity to benefit from better integration into global value chains.
Source: Asian Development Outlook 2019, ADB.
Latest Month-Ago Year-Ago
Composite Stock Price Index 1 1.0 (Nov19)991.7 917.8
Broad Money Growth 2 11.0 (Jul19)11.0 10.5
Headline Inflation Rate 3 3.5 (Nov19)2.2 3.5
Industrial/ Manufacturing Production Growth Rate 3 9.2 (Oct19)9.9 7.7
Merchandise Export Growth 3 3.8 (Nov19)3.8 7.3
Exchange Rate Index 4 145.8 (Nov19)145.8 146.5
1 Monthly average, local index.
2 %.
3 y-o-y, %.
4 Monthly average, January 2006 = 100, $/local currency.
Source: Bloomberg LP; CEIC database; General Statistics Office.

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