AEIR 2019/2020

GDP growth decelerated to 0.7% in 2019 (the lowest in 10 years) from 3.4% in 2018. Weaker global demand and trade tensions between the United States and People’s Republic of China crimped exports, which contracted by 1.6%. On the demand side, private consumption moderated to 3.7%, government consumption growth edged down to 2.8%, and the contraction in domestic fixed investment slowed to 0.2%. In April 2018, the Monetary Authority of Singapore allowed the Singapore dollar to appreciate in nominal effective terms against the US dollar. The trade surplus expanded to 26.3% of GDP on strong services exports. With the impact of COVID-19—travel and supply chain disruptions—economic growth is expected to slow to 0.2% in 2020. With a sufficient fiscal buffer, fiscal policy will remain expansionary, with growth expected to improve to 2.0% in 2021.
Source: Asian Development Outlook 2020, ADB
Latest Month-Ago Year-Ago
Composite Stock Price Index 1 2.0 (Oct20)2.0 3.0
Broad Money Growth 2 10.6 (Sep20)10.6 11.2
Headline Inflation Rate 3 0.0 (Sep20)-0.4 0.4
Industrial/ Manufacturing Production Growth Rate 3 24.2 (Sep20)15.4 -1.4
Merchandise Export Growth 3 -1.2 (Sep20)-1.2 -3.7
Exchange Rate Index 4 83.4 (Oct20)83.7 84.0
1 Monthly average, local index.
2 %.
3 y-o-y, %.
4 Monthly average, January 2006 = 100, $/local currency.
Source: Bloomberg LP; CEIC database; Singapore Economic Development Board; International Entreprise Singapore.

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